Jumat, 25 Oktober 2019

Lion Air crash investigators fault Boeing 737 Max’s flight-control system, regulatory lapses and pilot training - The Washington Post

Willy Kurniawan Reuters A Lion Air Boeing 737 Max 8 jet at Jakarta’s Soekarno-Hatta International Airport on March 15. Regulators grounded the model worldwide after two deadly crashes.

JAKARTA — Design flaws in Boeing’s 737 Max jet, regulatory lapses and false assumptions about pilots’ responses to new systems combined to cause last year’s fatal Lion Air crash, Indonesian investigators said Friday, as they released a final report that pinpointed faults in a flight-control feature intended to prevent the aircraft from stalling. 

The accident prompted Boeing to make changes to the 737 Max, the manufacturer said in a statement Friday as the report was released. The fixes included changing how the angle-of-attack sensors feed information to the cockpit and improving crew manuals and pilot training. 

“These software changes will prevent the flight control conditions that occurred in this accident from ever happening again,” Boeing said. 

 Lion Air Flight 610 crashed into the Java Sea on Oct. 29, shortly after taking off from Jakarta. All eight crew members and 181 passengers were killed.

The crash was soon tied to a new automated feature that Boeing had included on the 737 Max, a new version of its popular jet with larger, more fuel-efficient engines. Investigators say the feature was mistakenly triggered by faulty information from an external sensor.

Similar problems were blamed for the crash of an Ethio­pian Airlines flight in March that killed 157 people. The Max has been grounded worldwide since shortly after that crash.

On Friday, officials from Indonesia’s transportation safety regulator said nine factors worked together to doom the Lion Air jet. 

“These items were connected to each other. If one of them was not occurring on that day, the accident may not have happened,” said Nurcahyo Utomo, an investigator at the National Transportation Safety Committee.

[Widow of pilot on doomed Lion Air flight says direct appeals were made to ground Boeing model]

Those factors included incorrect assumptions by Boeing about how pilots would respond to the new flight-control system, known as the Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System, or MCAS. Investigators highlighted how the MCAS design relied on a single sensor and was therefore vulnerable to errors.

“One [angle of attack] affected the whole system,” Nurcahyo said. A false reading on that sensor redirected the plane’s nose downward, leaving the cockpit crew unable to override the auto­pilot commands.

Other fatal mistakes included a lack of training for pilots in the new system, a lack of documentation about problems in previous Lion Air flights involving the same jet and ineffective coordination between flight crews. Investigators concluded that the plane should have been grounded after an earlier fault.

The report called for improved oversight by the Federal Aviation Administration, the U.S. regulator, and included suggestions for Boeing as well as Lion Air. 

Indonesian investigators, however, stressed that their report was not aimed at pinpointing culpability but at ensuring passenger safety and preventing a similar accident. The report cannot be used for liability or compensation issues in court.

In a statement, Lion Air said it was essential to take “immediate corrective actions to ensure that an accident like this one never happens again.”

[NTSB cites competing pilot warnings and flawed safety assumptions on Boeing 737 Max]

Charles Herrmann, a Seattle attorney representing the families of 46 Lion Air crash victims, said the crash anniversary and the release of the report are “a double wounding” for his clients.

“This is a devastating experience for these people,” Herrmann said. “It involves not only tremendous sorrow and grief. There’s a lot of anger.”

Since the crashes, Boeing’s decision to adopt MCAS and the FAA’s role in certifying the plane have come under intense scrutiny from the Justice Department, congressional investigators and lawyers representing the families of dozens of those who died.

Ahead of Friday’s release of the crash investigation report, a review by the U.S. National Transportation Safety Board found that Boeing underestimated the risk posed by MCAS and made bad assumptions about how pilots would respond to a barrage of alerts in the cockpit if something went wrong.

And an international group of aviation regulators and U.S. experts concluded that Boeing shared information with the FAA in a fragmented way, resulting in insufficient scrutiny of the new feature.

Tatan Syuflana

AP

Navy personnel in Jakarta on Nov. 1, 2018, removed recovered parts of the Lion Air jet that had crashed into the sea.

MCAS was designed to kick in when pilots were flying manually, repeatedly pushing the plane’s nose down if sensor data indicated that the aircraft was at risk of stalling. But the data that the system received in both the Lion Air and Ethio­pian Airlines flights was faulty, causing the feature to kick in repeatedly while the pilots struggled to regain control of the aircraft.

[Boeing and FAA faulted in oversight breakdowns that contributed to 737 Max failure]

The protracted grounding of the Max has battered Boeing’s finances and its stock price. This week, the company reported that its revenue fell to $20 billion in the third quarter, down 21 percent from a year earlier. Profits were down 51 percent to $1.17 billion.

The company also announced the resignation this week of Kevin McAllister, head of the Boeing division that made the Max.

The company’s fortunes rest on it winning approval from aviation regulators in the United States and abroad for the Max to resume flights.

Boeing has redesigned the MCAS feature in a way that it says is safer, and the changes are being reviewed by aviation authorities. FAA officials say they have several more weeks’ work to do, and airlines have said they are keeping the Max off their schedules into January and February.

Boeing’s chief executive Dennis Muilenberg, who was stripped of his role as chairman of the company’s board this month, is scheduled to testify about the Max before Senate and House committees next week. Lawmakers are weighing whether there ought to be changes to an FAA program that turns over to industry much of the responsibility for certifying that safety standards are being met.

[FAA discovers new safety concern during Boeing 737 Max test]

Lion Air is Indonesia’s largest budget airline, operating in a fast-growing industry across an archipelago where air travel is a necessity. But even before the crash a year ago, the country had a spotty safety record, and its carriers were banned from flying to the United States between 2007 and 2016.

The Max involved in the crash had entered service just months before. Lion Air was a major international customer for Boeing.

The pilot, 31-year-old Bhavye Suneja, was a native of India who had logged 6,000 flight hours. He was joined in the cockpit by a first officer who used only the single name Harvino and who had 5,000 hours of experience. 

Vini Wulandari, Harvino’s sister, said the investigation reinforced her family’s belief that her brother was not to blame for the crash, and she demanded that Boeing take more responsibility for the loss of life.

“From the beginning, I’m sure that Harvino was innocent because he had done everything according to procedure,” Vini said in an interview Friday. Her family is among those suing Boeing.

“Someone must be held responsible for what has happened,” she added.

Mahtani reported from Hong Kong.

Read more

American Airlines says it expects to resume flying Boeing’s 737 Max jet in January

FAA discovers new safety concern during Boeing 737 Max test

Long before the Max disasters, Boeing had a history of failing to fix safety problems

Today’s coverage from Post correspondents around the world

Like Washington Post World on Facebook and stay updated on foreign news

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/investigators-fault-boeing-737-maxs-flight-control-system-regulatory-lapses-and-pilot-training-in-lion-air-crash/2019/10/25/e8143d06-f69c-11e9-b2d2-1f37c9d82dbb_story.html

2019-10-25 10:54:00Z
52780418130025

39 bodies were found in a truck in England. Here's what we know about the timeline - CNN

UK police appear to have established that the truck and its container followed two separate routes -- coming together towards the end of the journey shortly before the grisly discovery.
Here's what we know about the timeline so far, according to authorities in the UK and Belgium.
The truck itself is thought to have entered Great Britain through the Welsh port of Holyhead on Sunday after traveling over from Ireland, according to Essex Police. Investigators believe the truck -- which was registered in Bulgaria in 2017 -- originated in Northern Ireland.
The truck has not returned to Bulgaria since its registration, the country's prime minister, Boyko Borissov, said on local television channel bTV on Wednesday.
On Tuesday, the container arrived at the Belgian port of Zeebrugge at 2:49 p.m. local time (1:49 p.m. UK time), before leaving for the UK that same afternoon, according to the preliminary findings of Belgian prosecutors.
The container entered the English port of Purfleet in the very early hours of Wednesday. Essex Police believe it arrived shortly after 12:30 a.m. Belgian officials said the container arrived from Zeebrugge at midnight.
This is where the truck picked up the container, according to Essex Police, who said the truck then left the port shortly after 1:05 a.m.
At around 1:40 a.m., ambulance workers called police to the Waterglade Industrial Park in Grays following the discovery of the 39 people. All were pronounced dead at the scene. Authorities arrested the driver of the truck, a 25-year-old man from Northern Ireland, on suspicion of murder.
He was later identified by a local councilor as Mo Robinson. Paul Berry, the local councilor for Armagh (the area where Robinson resides in Northern Ireland) told CNN he learned of the arrest after speaking with Robinson's father. Police would not comment on the suspect's identify on Thursday.
On Wednesday evening, the truck and trailer were moved to a "secure location" in Tilbury Docks, about a 20-minute drive from where the bodies were discovered.
Later Wednesday, police in Northern Ireland raided multiple properties, one of which has been identified by local residents as the home of Robinson's parents. CNN was present at the parents' home in County Armagh, southwest of Belfast, and witnessed officers going in and out of the house.
Local residents have told CNN that the parents have since traveled to England to support their son.
Essex Police announced Thursday that the dead -- 31 men and nine women -- were all believed to be Chinese nationals. They also said that the truck driver would remain in custody for another 24 hours.
"This is an incredibly sensitive and high-profile investigation, and we are working swiftly to gather as full a picture as possible as to how these people lost their lives," deputy chief constable Pippa Mills said.
In Belgium, the Chinese embassy "demanded the Belgian police conduct a comprehensive investigation." Earlier in the day, China's embassy in the UK said it was sending personnel to the scene of the investigation "to verify relevant information."
On Thursday evening, Essex Police said the first 11 victims were transported to Broomfield Hospital in Chelmsford for postmortem examinations.

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https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/25/europe/uk-truck-deaths-timeline-gbr-intl/index.html

2019-10-25 09:22:00Z
52780417140138

Lion Air crash investigators fault Boeing 737 Max’s flight-control system, regulatory lapses and pilot training - The Washington Post

Willy Kurniawan Reuters A Lion Air Boeing 737 Max 8 at Jakarta’s Soekarno Hatta International Airport on March 15, 2019. Regulators grounded the model worldwide after two deadly crashes.

JAKARTA — Design flaws in Boeing Co.’s 737 Max, false assumptions on pilots’ responses to new systems, and regulatory lapses combined to cause last year’s fatal Lion Air crash, Indonesian investigators said Friday, as they released a final report that pinpointed faults in a flight-control feature intended to prevent the aircraft from stalling. 

The accident prompted Boeing to make changes to the 737 Max, the manufacturer said in a statement Friday as the report was released, including redesigning the angle-of-attack sensors that feed information to the cockpit, improving crew manuals and pilot training. 

“These software changes will prevent the flight control conditions that occurred in this accident from ever happening again,” Boeing said. 

 Lion Air flight 610 crashed into the Java Sea on Oct. 29, shortly after taking off from Jakarta. All eight crew and 181 passengers were killed.

The crash was soon tied to a new automated feature Boeing had included on the 737 Max, a new version of its popular jet with larger, more fuel-efficient engines. Investigators say the feature was mistakenly triggered by faulty information from an external sensor.

Similar problems were blamed for the crash of an Ethio­pian Airlines flight in March that killed 157 people. The Max has been grounded worldwide since shortly after that crash.

On Friday, officials from Indonesia’s transportation-safety regular said nine factors worked together to doom the Lion Air jet. 

“These items were connected to each other. If one of them was not occurring on that day, the accident may not have happened,” said Nurcahyo Utomo, an investigator at the National Transportation Safety Committee.

[Widow of pilot on doomed Lion Air flight says direct appeals made to ground Boeing model]

Those factors included incorrect assumptions by Boeing about how pilots would respond to the new flight-control system, known as Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System, or MCAS. Investigators highlighted how the MCAS design relied on a single sensor, and was therefore vulnerable to errors.

“One [angle of attack] affected the whole system,” Nurcahyo said. A false reading on that sensor redirected the plane’s nose downward, leaving the cockpit crew unable to override the auto­pilot commands.

Other fatal mistakes included a lack of training for pilots in the new system, a lack of documentation about problems in previous Lion Air flights involving the same jet, and ineffective coordination between flight crews. Investigators concluded that the plane should have been grounded after an earlier fault.

The report called for improved oversight by the Federal Aviation Administration, the U.S. regulator, and included suggestions for Boeing as well as Lion Air. 

Indonesian investigators, however, stressed that their report was not aimed at pinpointing culpability, but ensuring passenger safety and preventing a similar accident. The report cannot be used for liability or compensation issues in court.

In a statement, Lion Air said it was essential to take “immediate corrective actions to ensure that an accident like this one never happens again.”

[NTSB cites competing pilot warnings and flawed safety assumptions on Boeing 737 Max]

Charles Herrmann, a Seattle attorney representing the families of 46 Lion Air crash victims, said the crash anniversary and the release of the report are “a double wounding” for his clients.

“This is a devastating experience for these people,” Herrmann said. “It involves not only tremendous sorrow and grief. There’s a lot of anger.”

Since the crashes, Boeing’s decision to adopt MCAS, and the FAA’s role in certifying the plane have come under intense scrutiny from the Justice Department, congressional investigators and lawyers representing the families of dozens of those who died.

Ahead of Friday’s release of the crash investigation report, a review by the U.S. National Transportation Safety Board found that Boeing underestimated the risk posed by MCAS and made bad assumptions about how pilots would respond to a barrage of alerts in the cockpit if something went wrong.

And an international group of aviation regulators and U.S. experts concluded that Boeing shared information with the FAA in a fragmented way, leading to the new feature not being subjected to sufficient scrutiny.

Tatan Syuflana

AP

Navy personnel in Jakarta removed recovered parts of the Lion Air jet that crashed into the sea last year, in a file photo from Nov. 1, 2018.

MCAS was designed to kick in when pilots were flying manually, repeatedly pushing the plane’s nose if sensor data indicated that it was at risk of stalling. But the data it received in both the Lion Air and Ethio­pian Airlines flights was faulty, causing the feature to kick in repeatedly while the pilots struggled to regain control of the aircraft.

[Boeing and FAA faulted in oversight breakdowns that contributed to 737 Max failure]

The protracted grounding of the Max has battered Boeing’s finances and its stock price. This week the company reported that its revenue fell to $20 billion in the third quarter, down 21 percent from a year earlier. Profits were down 51 percent to $1.17 billion.

The company also announced the resignation this week that Kevin McAllister, the head of the Boeing division that made the Max.

The company’s fortunes rest on it winning approval from aviation regulators in the United States and abroad for the Max to resume flights.

Boeing has redesigned the feature in a way that it says is safer and the changes are being reviewed by aviation authorities. FAA officials say they still have several more weeks’ work to do and airlines have said they’re keeping the Max off their schedules into January and February.

Boeing’s chief executive Dennis Muilenberg, who was stripped of his role as chairman of the company’s board this month, is scheduled to testify about the Max before Senate and House committees next week. Lawmakers are weighing whether there ought to be changes to a FAA program that turns over to industry much of the responsibility for certifying that safety standards are being met.

FAA discovers new safety concern during Boeing 737 Max test]

Lion Air is Indonesia’s largest budget airline, operating in a fast-growing industry across an archipelago where air travel is a necessity. But even before October’s crash the country had a spotty safety record and its carriers were banned from flying to the United States between 2007 and 2016.

The Max involved in the crash had entered service just months before. Lion Air was a major international customer for Boeing.

The pilot, 31-year-old Bhavye Suneja, was a native of India who had logged 6,000 flight hours. He was joined in the cockpit by a first officer who used only the single name Harvino and who had 5,000 hours of experience. 

Vini Wulandari, Harvino’s sister, said the investigation reinforced her family’s belief that her brother was not to blame for the crash, and demanded Boeing take more responsibility for the loss of life.

“From the beginning, I'm sure that Harvino was innocent because he had done everything according to procedure," Vini said in an interview Friday. Her family is among those suing Boeing.

“Someone must be held responsible for what has happened,” she added.  

Mahtani reported from Hong Kong.

            

         

            Read more         

   American Airlines says it expects to resume flying Boeing’s 737 Max jet in January  

   FAA discovers new safety concern during Boeing 737 Max test  

   Long before the Max disasters, Boeing had a history of failing to fix safety problems  

            Today’s coverage from Post correspondents around the world            

            Like Washington Post World on Facebook and stay updated on foreign news         

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2019-10-25 09:28:00Z
52780418130025

Kamis, 24 Oktober 2019

39 found dead in U.K. truck container believed to be Chinese - NBCNews.com

LONDON — The 39 people found dead inside a truck at an industrial estate near London are believed to have been Chinese, police said Thursday as more details of the incident emerged.

"Each of the 39 people must undergo a full coroner’s process to establish a cause of death before we move on to attempting to identify each individual within the trailer," police said in a statement.

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Officials added that 31 were men and eight women. All were thought to have been adults, police added. Police earlier said a teenager was among the dead.

Police also raided three properties in Northern Ireland after the bodies were found in a container on the site in Grays, about 20 miles east of central London in the early hours of Wednesday morning.

Police arrested the driver, a 25-year-old man from Northern Ireland, on suspicion of murder.

Police officers drive away a truck where 39 dead bodies were discovered on Wednesday. Hannah McKay / Reuters

Police said the trailer had arrived at docks in Essex, southern England, having traveled from Zeebrugge in Belgium and the bodies were found just over an hour later at 1:40 a.m.

The red cab unit of the truck was believed to have originated in Ireland. It had "Ireland" emblazoned on the windscreen along with the message "The Ultimate Dream."

Prime Minister Boris Johnson said he was appalled by the news and was receiving regular updates about the investigation which was focused on human trafficking.

The National Crime Agency — which leads probes into organized crime and human trafficking — said it was assisting the investigation and working to "urgently identify and take action against any organized crime groups who have played a role in causing these deaths."

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https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/police-raid-northern-ireland-home-after-39-found-dead-u-n1071166

2019-10-24 10:59:00Z
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39 people found dead in truck in southeast England were Chinese nationals: report - Fox News

The 39 people who were found inside the back of a semi-truck in England were identified on Thursday as Chinese nationals, according to reports.

The bodies were found near an industrial estate near London. Details about the victims have not been officially released except that one was a teenager.

The 25-year-old driver from Northern Ireland has been arrested on suspicion of murder. While Essex police have not identified him, several U.K. media outlets have named him as Mo Robinson, from Portadown, County Armagh. British police raided two sites in Northern Ireland.

TRUCK WITH 39 BODIES ENTERED ENGLAND FROM BELGIUM VIA FERRY, POLICE SAY

"This is a tragic incident where a large number of people have lost their lives. Our inquiries are ongoing to establish what has happened," Essex Police Chief Superintendent Andrew Mariner told reporters at a press conference. "We are in the process of identifying the victims; however, I anticipate that this could be a lengthy process."

Belgium's federal prosecutor's office says it is clear that the container in which 39 people were found dead had come through the North Sea port of Zeebrugge.

ARIZONA OFFICIAL CHARGED WITH HUMAN SMUGGLING AFTER BRINGING MORE THAN 40 PREGNANT WOMEN TO THE US

Police escort the truck, that was found to contain a large number of dead bodies, as they move it from an industrial estate in Thurrock, south England, Wednesday Oct. 23, 2019.

Police escort the truck, that was found to contain a large number of dead bodies, as they move it from an industrial estate in Thurrock, south England, Wednesday Oct. 23, 2019. (AP)

Britain remains an attractive destination for immigrants, even as the U.K. is negotiating its divorce from the European Union. In Parliament, Prime Minister Boris Johnson put aside the Brexit crisis and vowed that human traffickers would be prosecuted to the full extent of the law.

"All such traders in human beings should be hunted down and brought to justice," he said.

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In 2000, 58 Chinese nationals suffocated to death in a truck trailer in Dover. In 2004, 21 illegal immigrants from China who had entered the country via shipping containers perished while harvesting shellfish in northern England

Fox News' Lucia I. Suarez Sang, Brie Stimson and the Associated Press contributed  to this report

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2019-10-24 10:14:22Z
CBMibmh0dHBzOi8vd3d3LmZveG5ld3MuY29tL3dvcmxkLzM5LXBlb3BsZS1mb3VuZC1kZWFkLWluLXRydWNrLWluLXNvdXRoZWFzdC1lbmdsYW5kLXdlcmUtY2hpbmVzZS1uYXRpb25hbHMtcmVwb3J00gFyaHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZm94bmV3cy5jb20vd29ybGQvMzktcGVvcGxlLWZvdW5kLWRlYWQtaW4tdHJ1Y2staW4tc291dGhlYXN0LWVuZ2xhbmQtd2VyZS1jaGluZXNlLW5hdGlvbmFscy1yZXBvcnQuYW1w

‘This is a danger zone’: Trump faces an existential test with evangelicals - POLITICO

President Donald Trump is on a rescue mission to preserve his grip on the religious right.

In call after call over the past two weeks, Trump has sought counsel from prominent evangelical figures on how to protect his relationship with conservative Christians amid mounting criticism over his withdrawal of U.S. forces from Syria.

Some of the leaders urged him to reverse course after he announced that American troops would no longer be operating near the Turkey-Syria border. They warned of religious persecution in the region and the threat to civilians in Kurdish-held territory. Others advised him of the danger his decision could pose to U.S. allies like Israel, whose security and sovereignty white evangelicals care deeply about.

“This gives evangelicals pause because now they’re wondering, ‘Hmm, that was not a good move. What’s next? Does this mean he’s going to throw Israel under the bus if he threw the Kurds under the bus?’” a longtime friend of the president said. Another evangelical Trump ally told the president he was offended by a comment the president made about Kurdish fighters having “plenty of sand to play with,” according to a person briefed on the conversation.

It’s a first for Trump’s presidency: The same evangelical leaders who’ve been notoriously unmovable through prior controversies have spoken out forcefully to condemn his policy toward Syria. Televangelist Pat Robertson said Trump was “in danger of losing the mandate of heaven.” Family Research Council head Tony Perkins described the move as “inconsistent with what the president has done” previously.

“I was concerned about it, but feel more confident after talking with POTUS and seeing the results of the cease-fire and the economic sanctions,” former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who initially blasted Trump’s decision to ditch the Kurds as a “huge mistake,” wrote in an email to POLITICO on Tuesday. (In remarks from the White House Diplomatic Reception Room less than 24 hours later, Trump announced he would be lifting those same economic sanctions against Turkey — remarks that came a day after the U.S. special envoy for Syria engagement told a Senate panel the Turkish military offensive had killed hundreds of Kurdish fighters.)

The outrage over Trump’s Syria decision, combined with the growing threat of impeachment, has left the president facing a new test in his relationship with white evangelicals as signs of tensions have begun to surface in recent polls. For some, his culturally conservative agenda may not be enough to keep them from walking away if the situation in Syria deteriorates further.

It’s a dilemma that has left Trump’s biggest religious boosters asking themselves whether his sky-high support with so-called values voters will last through next November.

“If he’s going to win in 2020,” said the longtime Trump friend, “he has to be north of the 81 percent [of white evangelicals] he won in 2016. I’m not suggesting that the polling is all of a sudden going to show that his support is plummeting because of Syria. But if it stays stagnant, he’s a one-term president.”

White evangelicals have long grappled with a president they consider their greatest champion since the Reagan years, but who rarely approaches policy matters or discourse with their preferred tone or moral code. They have asked Trump not to curse at his campaign rallies, despite standing by him when he was caught on tape making vulgar comments about women in 2016. They have endorsed his hard-line immigration policies, but privately urged him to ditch the harsh language about immigrants and refugees. And they have consistently cited his appointment of anti-abortion judges as a hallmark of his presidency without mentioning the uncomfortable moment when, as a candidate, he suggested punishing women who choose to end their pregnancies.

Now, the president’s evangelical allies are pressing him to consider the consequences of pulling troops from Syria, which he has cast as a financially sensible decision. And they are warning him of trouble ahead if he doesn’t — both in the region, where U.S.-backed Kurdish fighters have been killed by Turkish airstrikes in recent days, and with his political standing back home.

“This is a danger zone for this administration when it comes to evangelicals. They see religious persecution, Iran gaining a foothold, Israel facing threats and the possibility of ISIS reemerging, and what Trump keeps talking about is the land, and the money, and the deal-making,” said the longtime Trump friend. “The moral compass is missing, and he’s off balance here with evangelicals.”

Unlike other voting blocs that have slowly moved away from Trump, white evangelicals have displayed a certain level of elasticity in their support for him — opting to adapt to the worst moments and elements of his presidency, even when they have shown initial signs of shock.

“He’s a blue-chip stock for evangelicals and they’re cashed in fully. If there’s fluctuation in the market, they always ride it out,” said the Trump pal.

It’s an enduring mystery of the Trump era and one that prompts questions about tribalism and the state of both major political parties. Do white evangelicals stand by Trump because there is no suitable Republican or Democratic alternative? Or do they embrace him because that’s what they’ve seen the most prominent among them do?

“My gut says white evangelicals will jump when and if Fox News does,” said Elesha Coffman, a scholar of American religion at Baylor University. “Any movement, if we see it, isn’t going to come from within their religious communities.”

A lengthy study released this week by the Public Religion Research Institute offers other clues about the current state of Trump’s relationship with white evangelical voters, as well as why it could change between now and Election Day. In striking terms, the survey captures just how substantial the president’s support is among white evangelicals: 99 percent of GOP-leaning white evangelical Protestants oppose impeaching and removing Trump from office and 63 percent say he has done nothing to damage the dignity of the presidency, separating them from majorities across all other major religious groups that said he has.

Other figures raise questions about the durability of white evangelicals’ support for Trump, particularly given the precarious position he finds himself in with Syria.

For example, 63 percent of white evangelical Protestants in the PRRI study said terrorism is a major concern for them — more than immigration (55 percent), which has been Trump’s single biggest issue, or health care (53 percent). Those figures come amid warnings that the U.S. pullout from Syria could rekindle terrorism in Europe and cause a resurgence of the Islamic State. Already, a separate NPR/Marist survey found that nearly 30% of white evangelicals believe U.S. security has been weakened by Trump.

The worse the situation becomes in Syria the more comfortable white evangelicals might feel about distancing themselves from Trump, Coffman said. That happened gradually during the Watergate era, when rank-and-file evangelicals slowly walked away from President Richard M. Nixon.

After the Syria cease-fire, “will things get much worse? Will we get pictures of children who get victimized by chemical weapons? Will there be enough of a rebuke from Republicans or more voices inside white evangelicalism speaking out about this?” Coffman asked, adding that “it’s possible we’ll see movement then, but I wouldn’t bet on it.”

There is also the shadow that impeachment has cast over Trump’s presidency, and how white evangelicals are responding.

A much-discussed Fox News poll found that nearly three in 10 white evangelicals want the president impeached and removed from office — a figure that startled some officials on Trump’s 2020 campaign, according to an outside adviser. And in the NPR/Marist survey, which was taken after House Democrats began their impeachment inquiry, only 62 percent of white evangelicals said they definitely plan to vote for Trump next fall.

That’s the number Trump’s top evangelical supporters are closely monitoring and cautioning the president not to ignore. Eighty-one percent of the white evangelical vote in 2016 was enough to carry him to the White House, they say, but with underwater approval ratings among other key constituencies he needs to do even better next fall.

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https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/24/trump-evangelical-christian-support-056121

2019-10-24 09:15:00Z
52780417512262

Defense Secretary Esper has sharp words for Turkey over Syria invasion - Fox News

BRUSSELS — U.S. Defense Secretary Mark Esper is lashing out at Turkey for its military assault on Syrian Kurdish fighters across the border into Syria.

His remarks in Brussels Thursday came after spending four tumultuous days engulfed in the chaotic ramifications of the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria.

TURKEY, RUSSIA ANNOUNCE JOINT PATROLS ALONG SYRIA BORDER IN LATEST MOVE AGAINST KURDS

Esper says Turkey's unwarranted invasion into Syria jeopardizes security gains made in recent years as the U.S.-led coalition and allied Syrian Kurdish forces battled the Islamic State group. His comments came at the German Marshall Fund.

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President Donald Trump announced Wednesday that the U.S. is lifting sanctions on Turkey after the NATO ally agreed to permanently stop fighting Kurdish forces in Syria. Esper was in Iraq Wednesday to discuss the withdrawal and the Islamic State threat with Iraqi leaders and his military commanders.

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2019-10-24 08:47:27Z
52780417512262