Reports of clashes 'disinformation,' Erdogan says
https://www.cnn.com/2019/10/18/middleeast/syria-turkey-ceasefire-violations-intl/index.html
2019-10-18 12:49:00Z
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CNN's Hamdi Alkhshali contributed to this report.
After months of tortured negotiations, Prime Minister Boris Johnson did what few thought he could (or even wanted) to do, and negotiated a Brexit deal.
As European leaders gathered for an EU summit in Brussels on Thursday, Johnson and EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker announced a breakthrough. "Where there's a will, there's a deal," Juncker said on Twitter, while Johnson hailed an "excellent" pact.
"The extraction having been done, the building now begins," Johnson told reporters shortly afterwards, before tucking into a roast veal dinner with the remaining 27 EU leaders.
The agreement replaces former PM Theresa May's derided backstop mechanism with a solution that she dismissed long ago -- putting a customs border in the Irish sea, and maintaining some EU regulations in Northern Ireland, but not in the rest of the UK.
It was instantly attacked by opposition MPs but promoted by Johnson's allies, who lauded their leader for doing what was once considered impossible.
But that was the easy part.
Now, Johnson faces the fight of his political life to raise support for the deal in Parliament. And he only has one day in which to do it, before a historic sitting on Saturday in which the next phase of Brexit will be decided.
With a razor-tight margin expected, every vote will count. So prepare for a frenzied day in Westminster, as the Prime Minister gets back from Brussels and attempts to drum up support for his plan.
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has insisted that he is "very confident" the House of Commons will support his Brexit deal on Saturday, in what is widely expected to be a historic knife-edge vote.
The former London mayor secured a draft Brexit deal with the European Union on Thursday, following successive days of late-night talks and almost three years of tense discussions.
Johnson must now persuade a majority of U.K. lawmakers to support the draft agreement if he is to take Britain out of the EU on Oct. 31 — something he has promised to deliver "do or die, come what may."
Saturday's showdown is likely to be framed as a "new deal or no deal" moment, with the prime minister acutely aware it will be his last chance to get Members of Parliament (MPs) to approve the deal before the Brexit deadline.
However, the parliamentary arithmetic looks daunting for Johnson after he agreed to strike a deal with the world's largest trading bloc without the backing of the Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party (DUP).
The DUP, which supports Johnson's government on a confidence and supply basis, has said it will be unable to support the deal on Saturday.
The extraordinary session will mark the first time Parliament has convened on a Saturday since 1982, amid the Falklands War.
Sterling, which jumped to five-month highs on Thursday, was trading little changed at $1.2891 during Friday morning deals.
"A narrow defeat in Saturday's Commons vote on Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Brexit deal is now our central scenario," Mujtaba Rahman, managing director of Europe at Eurasia Group, said in a research note published Thursday.
Among other issues, the DUP has said it will oppose Johnson's draft deal over concessions made by the U.K. to the EU on customs checks at points of entry into Northern Ireland.
A pedestrian walks up a staircase on the southern bank of the River Thames with Houses of Parliament seen in the background in London on September 2, 2019.
TOLGA AKMEN | AFP | Getty Images
"As things stand, he faces a real prospect of a humiliating defeat because the DUP's 10 MPs are refusing to support his deal," Rahman said.
He added that while Johnson is "gambling" the DUP will drop its opposition to his deal, there was no sign of this happening before Saturday's vote.
That's because "the agreement would deny Unionists a veto when the Northern Ireland Assembly voted every four years on whether the province should remain in the EU's regulatory and customs orbit, with an effective border in the Irish Sea."
In the absence of support from the DUP, it is likely Johnson will need to count on the support of the 21 Conservative MPs he expelled from the party last month as well as some opposition Labour lawmakers.
"Johnson has a chance, but it is going to be tight," Kallum Pickering, senior economist at Berenberg Bank, said in a research note published Thursday.
The winning post in the House of Commons is 320, assuming everyone turns up to vote for Saturday's extraordinary session. Seven Sinn Fein MPs do not sit and the Speaker and three deputies do not vote.
Presently, there are 287 voting Conservative MPs, and Johnson will need to limit any rebellion among them. Pickering estimates 283 will back Johnson's new Brexit deal, thus leaving the prime minister needing 37 from outside his own ranks.
The prime minister "can probably count on the 21 MPs whom he kicked out of the parliamentary party in the last two months to back the deal on the basis they are brought back into the party," Pickering said. But, that would leave the prime minister 16 votes short of a majority.
Earlier this year, when Johnson's predecessor Theresa May took her own Brexit deal to MPs — for what turned out to be the third and final time — a total of nine lawmakers (five from Labour and four independents) backed the prime minister.
Pickering said that even if they, and the suspended Conservative MP Charlie Elphicke, now back Johnson's deal, it would still leave him six votes short of a majority.
After months of tortured negotiations, Prime Minister Boris Johnson did what few thought he could (or even wanted) to do, and negotiated a Brexit deal.
As European leaders gathered for an EU summit in Brussels on Thursday, Johnson and EU Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker announced a breakthrough. "Where there's a will, there's a deal," Juncker said on Twitter, while Johnson hailed an "excellent" pact.
"The extraction having been done, the building now begins," Johnson told reporters shortly afterwards, before tucking into a roast veal dinner with the remaining 27 EU leaders.
The agreement replaces former PM Theresa May's derided backstop mechanism with a solution that she dismissed long ago -- putting a customs border in the Irish sea, and maintaining some EU regulations in Northern Ireland, but not in the rest of the UK.
It was instantly attacked by opposition MPs but promoted by Johnson's allies, who lauded their leader for doing what was once considered impossible.
But that was the easy part.
Now, Johnson faces the fight of his political life to raise support for the deal in Parliament. And he only has one day in which to do it, before a historic sitting on Saturday in which the next phase of Brexit will be decided.
With a razor-tight margin expected, every vote will count. So prepare for a frenzied day in Westminster, as the Prime Minister gets back from Brussels and attempts to drum up support for his plan.
CNN's Natalie Gallón reported from Mexico City, Leyla Santiago reported from Washington DC, Maria Santana reported from New York, Helena DeMoura reported from Atlanta and Helen Regan wrote from Hong Kong.
Just hours after President Trump announced a cease-fire between Turkish and Kurdish-led forces in Syria, journalists have reported continued fighting in the Syrian town of Ras al-Ayn on Friday morning, while other areas have reported relative calm since the agreement.
Journalists from the Associated Press reported witnessing shelling and said they could see smoke billowing around the town, which sits along the border with Turkey. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a war monitor, reported intermittent clashes in Ras al-Ayn, but calm elsewhere.
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Reuters also reported machine-gun fire and shelling that could be heard from a border town in Turkey near Ra al-Ayn.
Trump had praised the cease-fire agreement as "a great day for civilization." He pointed to it as a victory after being criticized for his decision to withdraw U.S. forces from the region. At a rally on Thursday, he said it was his “unconventional” approach that led to the deal.
The agreement requires the Kurdish fighters to vacate a swath of territory in Syria along the Turkish border, largely solidifying Turkey's position.
A senior military official -- who worked on designing the U.S. anti-ISIS strategy with both the Kurds and the Turks -- told Fox News earlier that the 120-hour cease-fire had little chance of success.
"There is no way the Kurds can leave that security zone," the source said. "There are thousands of Kurds who live in what the Turks want as a buffer zone. That’s what these fighters’ families live. That is where they are from."
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Vice President Mike Pence told Fox News in an exclusive interview that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan knows Trump “says what he means" when he talks about slapping new sanctions on Turkey if its military defies the terms of the agreement.
Pence acknowledged the Trump administration was grateful to the Kurds that "helped us defeat ISIS," but point out that Turkey "had very real issues of terrorism and ISIS and the PKK organization, a Kurdish terrorist group the United States recognized as a terrorist organization many years ago."
Fox News' Jennifer Griffin, Melissa Leon and the Associated Press contributed to this report.