Kamis, 17 Oktober 2019

Blow to Boris Johnson’s Brexit Plan as He Heads to Brussels - The New York Times

BRUSSELS — Britain’s frantic efforts to negotiate a Brexit agreement with the European Union hit a last-minute snag on Thursday morning, after Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party said it could not support the deal “as things stand.”

The statement, hours before Prime Minister Boris Johnson of Britain was to present the deal to European leaders at a summit meeting in Brussels, suggested that British domestic politics once again threatened to torpedo a complex negotiation in the 11th hour.

It was not clear whether the Northern Ireland party simply wanted to make a show of holding out for its position before ultimately acquiescing — or whether Mr. Johnson faced a serious rebellion from the skeptics in his ranks.

But the sudden setback rattled the financial markets, with the British pound falling to $1.27 and 1.15 euros on the news, after having surged earlier this week on optimism that a deal was finally in sight.

The Democratic Unionists, who have proved to be a pivotal blocking force in previous attempts to negotiate an agreement to extricate Britain from the bloc, said they were troubled by elements of the deal on how to handle Northern Ireland in a post-Brexit world.

“As things stand,” the party said in a statement issued on Thursday, “we could not support what is being suggested on a customs and consent issues, and there is a lack of clarity on VAT.”

The party said it would continue working with the government on an acceptable agreement.

Mr. Johnson has consulted closely the Democratic Unionists and other skeptical elements of his Conservative Party-led coalition as a deal has taken shape. On Wednesday, optimism had grown amid signs in Brussels that the deadlock over Britain’s planned departure from the bloc could be on the verge of breaking.

Essentially, the proposed agreement would leave Northern Ireland aligned with European Union laws and regulations on most trade issues, even as it moved out of the European single market and into a customs union with Britain.

Under the proposed terms, the bloc would still conduct customs checks on some goods flowing from Britain to Northern Ireland if those goods were ultimately destined for the European Union.

There would be a complex series of rules on tariffs and value-added tax payments to compensate for differences in tariff rates between the European and British customs unions, though negotiators were struggling late on Tuesday to resolve the issue of how to rebate value-added tax payments.

The arrangement would also be subject to consent by the Northern Ireland Assembly, but in a way that would prevent the Democratic Unionists, who have opposed previous such proposals, from simply vetoing it at the first possible opportunity.

The Democratic Unionists are crucial to Mr. Johnson’s effort to win a majority for the deal in Parliament. Their opposition to similar previous versions of a Brexit agreement forced Mr. Johnson’s predecessor, Theresa May, to overhaul that agreement to place all of Britain in the European customs union for a period of time.

Mrs. May’s deal was nevertheless soundly defeated in Parliament three times.

Mr. Johnson was seen as having a better chance of cobbling together a majority, in part because he was a vocal supporter of Brexit before the 2016 referendum and thus has greater credibility with euroskeptic elements of the Conservative coalition.

As British negotiators were huddling with their European counterparts in Brussels, Mr. Johnson met with a parade of skeptics in 10 Downing Street. His hope is to win approval of the deal in Brussels by Friday, and then put it to a vote in a special session of the House of Commons on Saturday.

Mr. Johnson has vowed to leave the European Union, with or without a deal, by Oct. 31, and his negotiators have labored to seal an agreement by this week so that the prime minister is not force to ask Brussels for an extension.

European negotiators have used that tight timetable as leverage to push Mr. Johnson on the issue of Northern Ireland. The deal taking shape is not all that different from the one that the European Union proposed to Mrs. May — and which she concluded she could not accept because of opposition from the Democratic Unionists.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/17/world/europe/brexit-boris-johnson-eu.html

2019-10-17 07:03:00Z
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Brexit deal on a knife edge but talks continue ahead of EU summit - CNBC

Efforts are continuing to hammer out a Brexit deal Thursday as European Union leaders gather for a summit at which they could approve a tentative withdrawal agreement.

But that could prove very difficult with the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP), a group of politicians in Northern Ireland which are allied with the ruling U.K. Conservative Party, announcing that it couldn't support the deal as it stands.

That announcement sent sterling plunging more than 0.4% on Thursday morning, to 1.2765 against the dollar after trading near 1.2819.

The DUP said in a statement that it's unhappy with proposed customs and consent arrangements (designed to give Northern Ireland a say over its relationship with the EU post-Brexit) within the current proposals. The DUP has repeatedly opposed any plans that would see it treated differently from the U.K. after Brexit.

The U.K. government, which does not have a majority in the British Parliament, needs the DUP's support (and votes) if it is to have a chance to get a deal over the line when (and if) Parliament votes on Saturday to approve any deal.

United Kingdom Prime Minister Boris Johnson speaks at the United Nations (UN) Climate Action Summit on September 23, 2019 in New York City.

Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Roller-coaster ride

Brexit talks on Wednesday resembled a roller-coaster ride with reports at times suggesting a deal had been reached only to be countered with others suggesting that stumbling blocks had been run into. This caused volatile moves in sterling and U.K. stocks.

As talks continued into Wednesday night, EU officials and leaders appeared positive that an agreement was possible, even as time was fast running out before an EU leaders summit in Brussels Thursday.

Michel Barnier, the EU's chief Brexit negotiator, said there had been "good progress" in talks Wednesday evening and European Council President Donald Tusk said that "the basic foundations of this agreement are ready and theoretically we could accept a deal." German Chancellor Angela Merkel also said she was slightly more optimistic a deal could be reached.

Even if the EU agrees to a deal, U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson still needs to gain domestic support for an agreement from the U.K. Parliament, which could happen in a special parliamentary session on Saturday.

'Fundamental shift'

Hopes for a Brexit deal were revived in early October when the British government tabled new proposals to circumvent the contentious Irish "backstop" — an insurance policy in the original Brexit deal designed to prevent a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland.

The backstop had been very unpopular among Brexiteers and the DUP who did not want Northern Ireland to be separated from the rest of the U.K. As such, Britain proposed new plans that would see Northern Ireland retain elements of EU single market membership but leave the customs union, necessitating customs checks.

To ensure the Irish border remained open, Britain suggested customs checks could take place away from the border but EU officials were skeptical about the practicality of those arrangements.

As talks continued this week, Britain was reported to have made more concessions over Northern Ireland, however, including suggesting that a customs border could be created down the Irish Sea — something that appeared to unnerve the DUP.

On Wednesday, the European Parliament's chief Brexit official, Guy Verhofstadt, said there had been a positive change in the U.K.'s position. Still, he recognized any deal still needs approval by the U.K. Parliament — and a majority of U.K. lawmakers rejected the last Brexit deal on offer three times over.

"There has been a fundamental shift (compared to) a week ago, where before, the proposals of Mr (Boris) Johnson were absolutely unacceptable," Verhofstadt told reporters Wednesday.

"(But) there has been a fundamental shift, that is clear. So, the question is now, can the outstanding issues on customs be resolved? And then the next step — but that is not in this parliament, it is in another parliament in Britain — is there a majority in the House of Commons for it?," he added.

If EU leaders can agree a Brexit deal, Johnson will then take it to the U.K. Parliament on Saturday. There is no guarantee that a majority of lawmakers will back the deal, however, with hard Brexiteers and Remain lawmakers poles apart on whether to back the deal or risk a no-deal Brexit on October 31.

If no deal is agreed on Saturday, Johnson has been legally bound by his parliamentary colleagues to ask the EU for an extension to the departure date. But the prime minister has said the U.K. must leave the EU on Oct. 31 come what may.

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https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/17/brexit-sterling-falls-as-dup-says-it-cannot-support-deal.html

2019-10-17 06:43:07Z
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Rabu, 16 Oktober 2019

Turkey Urges Kurdish Fighters to Lay Down Their Arms - The New York Times

DOHUK, Iraq — President Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey called on Wednesday for Kurdish fighters battling his troops in northeastern Syria to lay down their weapons and withdraw from the border area “this very night.”

Resisting Western pressure to halt the operation, Mr. Erdogan also requested international support for his country’s battle against Kurdish fighters whom Turkey considers terrorists but who had been allied with the United States against the Islamic State.

Speaking to the Turkish Parliament, Mr. Erdogan said Turkey would not stop fighting until it had established a planned “safe zone” in Syria roughly 20 miles deep, from the town of Manbij in the west to the Iraqi border in the east.

Even as he spoke, Vice President Mike Pence and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo were traveling to Turkey with plans to meet Turkish officials on Thursday and press for a cease-fire.

Mr. Erdogan told a reporter from the British broadcaster Sky News: “I am standing tall. I will not meet with them. They will meet with their counterparts. I will speak when Trump comes.”

It was unclear if he was referring to Mr. Pence and Mr. Pompeo, but later, his communications director, Fahrettin Altun, wrote on Twitter in English: “Earlier today, the President told @SkyNews that he won’t receive a U.S. delegation that is visiting Ankara today. He does plan to meet the U.S. delegation led by @VP tomorrow.”

Mr. Erdogan also said he had told President Trump that a truce was not possible because Turkey does not negotiate with “terrorists.”

Turkey has faced widespread Western criticism and threats of economic sanctions and arms embargoes because of the incursion, which aims to sweep Kurdish fighters away from the Turkish border.

But Mr. Erdogan has billed the incursion as necessary for his country’s security and as a way to get some of the millions of refugees to return to Syria.

On Wednesday, he said: “If, this very night, all terrorists leave their weapons, equipment, everything, destroy the traps they have set up and leave the safe zone we designated in the region from Manbij to the Iraqi border, then our Peace Spring operation, which only targets terrorists, will end by itself.”

The incursion began after Mr. Trump ordered United States forces to leave the region, paving the way for Mr. Erdogan to send in his troops and proxy militias. The decision also shattered a partnership with a Kurdish-led militia in Syria that had been essential to the international fight against the Islamic State and gave Russia an opportunity to fill the security vacuum.

The United States is now moving ahead with withdrawing the rest of its roughly 1,000 troops from northeastern Syria, opening a void that other combatants in the country’s eight-year-old war have sought to fill.

Turkey and the Syrian fighters it supports are battling for control of two border towns, while Syrian government forces have pressed north, seizing territory that was until recently protected by the United States and its Kurdish partners.

Turkey considers Syria’s Kurdish-led militia a security threat because of its links to a guerrilla movement that has been fighting an insurgency against the Turkish state for decades.

United States officials privately acknowledge those links, but say that Syrian Kurds had not launched attacks on Turkey until the military incursion began last week.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/16/world/middleeast/turkey-kurds-syria.html

2019-10-16 12:32:00Z
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Brexit Talks Grind On as Deadline Looms, but Hurdles Remain - The Wall Street Journal

EU chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier, who is locked in negotiations with U.K. officials, in Brussels. Photo: kenzo tribouillard/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

Talks between the U.K. and European Union toward a draft Brexit agreement dragged on Wednesday, with British doubts about whether Parliament would approve a deal proving to be a significant obstacle.

Officials from both sides said British negotiators were concerned that concessions needed to satisfy the EU wouldn’t receive the necessary backing from U.K. lawmakers—particularly Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s political allies in the Democratic Unionist Party from Northern Ireland.

With about two weeks until the U.K.’s scheduled departure on Oct. 31, both sides are trying to negotiate a new deal to smooth the country’s exit from the bloc ahead of a summit of EU leaders on Thursday and Friday.

The question of how to prevent a physical border from being rebuilt between Northern Ireland and EU member Ireland has been the toughest issue to resolve. Negotiators have been discussing a plan that keeps Northern Ireland legally inside the U.K.’s customs territory, but that gives it a special status so that businesses can trade freely with the EU.

Some anti-EU lawmakers in Mr. Johnson’s Conservative Party would likely base their support for a deal on backing from the DUP, which opposes measures that would leave Northern Ireland effectively outside of the U.K. customs area. A deal negotiated by Mr. Johnson’s predecessor, Theresa May, failed three times in Parliament in part because of DUP opposition.

Michel Barnier, the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator, told a meeting of EU commissioners “significant issues” needed to be resolved but that talks had been constructive, commissioner Dimitris Avramopoulos told reporters.

In London, Stephen Barclay, the British Brexit minister, said, “What is essential is we reach agreement with the EU. Then the question is whether that is deliverable within the U.K. Parliament. That is the task on which we are focused.”

A succession of DUP and Conservative lawmakers visited Mr. Johnson’s offices at 10 Downing Street on Tuesday and Wednesday, ahead of a cabinet meeting Wednesday afternoon.

A person familiar with DUP thinking said, “There are gaps in the potential agreement that we cannot go with. Are they big or small, I can’t say. But they do divide us.”

The U.K.’s border with Ireland has been a major sticking point since Britain started negotiating its exit from the European Union. WSJ’s Jason Douglas traveled to the country’s only land frontier to understand why the issue is so divisive.

The DUP has focused on two issues: It has resisted the prospect of Northern Ireland being in a different customs area to the rest of the U.K. and has insisted that Northern Irish parties give consent to any arrangement concerning the region.

Sammy Wilson, the party’s Brexit spokesman, said Wednesday that any changes to Northern Ireland’s status would require the support of both unionist and Irish nationalist parties in Northern Ireland’s legislature to take effect.

British Prime Minister Boris Johnson has pledged to leave the EU on Oct. 31 without or without a deal. Photo: andy rain/Shutterstock

Mr. Barnier is due to meet with ambassadors from EU members Wednesday afternoon to say whether he will recommend that EU leaders sign off on an agreement when they meet in Brussels on Thursday and Friday. However, officials warned that talks, which ran until 1:30 a.m. local time on Wednesday morning, could continue through the day, potentially forcing Mr. Barnier to delay that decision until close to the summit.

The pound was down 0.3% against the dollar Wednesday, having surged more than 1% a day earlier on optimism about a deal.

If there is a deal this week, or if talks collapse, Parliament is expected to sit on Oct. 19 for only the fourth Saturday since the outbreak of World War II. European leaders would only formally back an accord if it passes the U.K. and EU parliaments.

The U.K. Parliament has passed a law requiring the government to ask for a three-month delay to Brexit if there isn’t an agreement by Oct. 31—though it isn’t clear how this will happen given Mr. Johnson’s insistence that the U.K. will leave at the end of October irrespective.

U.K. lawmakers will begin to scrutinize any deal, with some pro-EU lawmakers maneuvering to make an accord subject to another Brexit referendum. Plus, an extension beyond Oct. 31 may be needed even if an agreement is secured this month, to write the deal into a treaty and make it legally operational in both the EU and U.K.

Write to Laurence Norman at laurence.norman@wsj.com and Max Colchester at max.colchester@wsj.com

Copyright ©2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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https://www.wsj.com/articles/brexit-talks-resume-as-deadline-looms-but-hurdles-remain-11571212464

2019-10-16 11:51:00Z
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Kim Jong Un rides white horse on sacred mountain – and plans ‘great operation’ - The Washington Post

AP Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service via AP In this undated photo released Wednesday by the North Korean government, leader Kim Jong Un rides a white horse to climb Mount Paektu, North Korea. 

SEOUL — North Korean leader Kim Jong Un was shown riding a white horse in the snow on a sacred mountain, in a series of photographs released by state media Wednesday that experts said could presage a major announcement. 

“His horseback march in Mount Paektu is a great event of weighty importance in the history of the Korean revolution,” the Korean Central News Agency reported.

“All the officials who accompanied him to the top of the mountain felt overflowing emotion and joy and [were] convinced that there will be a great operation to strike the world with wonder again and advance the Korean revolution a step forward.”

In North Korea’s state mythology, Mount Paektu is supposed to be the spiritual home of the Kim dynasty and the birthplace of Kim Jong Un’s father. 

Kim purportedly “climbed” the 9,000-foot peak in shiny black leather shoes in December 2017, around 10 days after launching the country’s largest intercontinental ballistic missile, and less than a month before delivering a key speech that opened a diplomatic window for engagement with South Korea.

He also took South Korean President Moon Jae-in up the active volcano, which straddles North Korea’s border with China, after a summit in September last year. 

Str

Kcna Via Kns/Afp Via Getty Image

Kim riding a white horse among the first snow of the season atop Mount Paektu, in an undated picture released Wednesday by North Korean state media.

This time, Kim supposedly “personally” rode the horse up the mountain.

In his latest foray into nature, Kim took time on the horse to recollect “with deep emotion the road of arduous struggle he covered for the great cause of building the most powerful country with faith and will as firm as Mount Paektu,” state media reported. It added that he took in a bird’s-eye view “that looked like the high steep mountains of the revolution he has to pass in high spirits.”

[North Korea gives Trump administration year-end deadline to change ‘hostile policy’]

The official account hailed his ascent as reflecting “the majesty of the illustrious commander” who was determined to advance his country to “achieve prosperity with its own efforts, meeting all headwinds.”

Experts speculated that the dictator’s trip up Mount Paektu could signal a major announcement, amid faltering nuclear diplomacy with the United States. 

Rachel Minyoung Lee, an analyst with the NK Pro website based in Seoul, said Pyongyang’s coverage of Kim’s ride emphasized power and a hard line against concessions to the outside world. 

“State media has consistently played up North Korea’s rise to the ranks of powerful states as one of Kim’s major achievements after the failed Hanoi summit,” she said, referring to Kim’s February meeting with President Trump.

The coverage also emphasized the visit’s symbolism and said it was for “meditation,” Lee said, suggesting the regime may be about to make decisions on key issues.

AP

AP

Kim’s ride up Mount Paektu recalled the macho imagery of Russian leader Vladi­mir Putin, who is often pictured horseback riding.

Kim’s grandfather, Kim Il Sung, was supposedly visited by a white horse during his battles against Japanese occupation and was often pictured riding such a steed. Lee said the regime’s reporting was also meant to suggest similarities between the younger Kim and his grandfather, North Korea’s founding leader.

Relations between North Korea and its southern neighbor have nose-dived since Kim took Moon up the mountain last year, while talks with the United States in Stockholm this month ended with North Korea issuing an angry denunciation of Washington.

The image of Kim on horseback was also reminiscent of the macho imagery employed by Russian President Vladi­mir Putin, who often appears bare-chested while riding, swimming and fishing.

Kim has given the United States until the end of the year to change what North Korea calls its “hostile policy” or face unspecified consequences.

[North and South Korea soccer teams draw 0-0 in Pyongyang — to an empty stadium]

In separate remarks released Wednesday after a trip to construction sites in nearby Samjiyon county, Kim had a message of defiance for the United States, and a vow that his country would prosper despite international sanctions.

The pain the U.S.-led “hostile forces” had inflicted on the Korean people “is no longer pain but it turned into their anger.”

“Whenever the enemies try to strangle us with the chain of pressure, we should pave the way with our own efforts to continue to live well under the banner of the great spirit of self-reliance so that the enemies feel a pain in their stomach and head,” he said.

By visiting Samjiyon, Kim was trying to show that North Korea is standing strong despite sanctions, said Lim Eul-chul, an expert on the North Korean economy at Kyungnam University in Seoul.

“For the domestic audience, Kim intends to lower the expectations for nuclear talks with the United States and give a fresh push for ‘self-reliance,’” he said. “For people outside North Korea, Kim is showing that he won’t give into the sanctions pressure to make concessions in negotiations with Washington.”

                     

            Read more         

   North Korea gives Trump administration year-end deadline to change ‘hostile policy’  

   North and South Korea soccer teams draw 0-0 in Pyongyang — to an empty stadium  

     

            Today’s coverage from Post correspondents around the world            

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https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/kim-jong-un-rides-white-horse-on-sacred-mountain--and-plans-great-operation/2019/10/16/30931cc2-efe6-11e9-bb7e-d2026ee0c199_story.html

2019-10-16 09:13:00Z
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Erdogan asks Arab League: 'How many Syrians did you accept?' - Al Jazeera English

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2019-10-16 10:12:44Z
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Live fire exchanged over Turkey-Syria border | LIVE - The Sun

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8h72dDrezNs

2019-10-16 08:46:13Z
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